Page 30 - September 2020
P. 30

MARK FAITHFULL

                                    Following



                                    the Money




                                    Mark Faithfull crunches the numbers as he looks at
                                    analysis and expansion that reflects changing markets



        ATHLEISURE IS SOARING          THE DEPARTMENT STORE SECTOR IS IN TURMOIL
            was very interested to see that   o  shutter  a  full-line  flagship  department
            Gymshark  is  to  roll  out  stores,   store  five  years  after  opening  is
        I first in the US and then the UK   Textraordinary even in these extraordinary
        and Canada. The athleisure brand has   times,  but  that’s  just  what  UK  group  John  Lewis
        been  a  big  winner  during  lockdown,   has done. It’s easy to lay the blame for the closure
        running a very well judged social media   -  or  perhaps  that  should  be  non-resuscitation  -
        presence  that  both  supported  the   at  its  Birmingham  Grande  Central  location  on
        brand  but  was  highly  empathetic  to   Covid-19 but the malaise runs much deeper than
        the sentiment of the crisis. It has had   that and questions have to be asked of the retailer’s
        a  physical  presence  before,  opening   development  strategy,  given  that  a  department
        a  pre-lockdown  pop  up  at  Covent   store  should  be  a  long-term  investment.  Beyond
        Garden in late February that I believe   the virus, what else is different about the challenges
        just saw out its four-week stay before   now compared with 2015? I’d argue pretty much
        non-essential  shops  were  forced  to   nothing. And the situation facing John Lewis could
        close. But this is an all-together more   be far worse. In the early 2000s the company set
        serious store play and will provide a   out an ambitious development programme for 10
        small  amount  of  comfort  to  those   new full-line stores by 2013 and an additional 10
        concerned  that  online  brands  may   after  that,  ultimately  expanding  from  26  to  circa
        think again in a Covid-19 world about   50 stores. But an economic crisis spiked many of
        taking a physical presence. Gymshark   the  schemes  it  was  to  anchor  and  reshaped  the
        is currently seeking a head of retail to   retail  world  -  from  online  retail  to  austerity  and
        lead the new venture.          an  experience-based  economy.  John  Lewis  had
                                       dodged a bullet and instead switched its attention
                                       to smaller formats and Home. But Birmingham was
                                       developed and executed in this new age and if John
                                       Lewis couldn’t make it work, were the foundations
                                       ever there? Indeed, if anyone thought that Covid-19
                                       wasn’t going to be a massive retail accelerator for
                                       department stores and their role as mall anchors
                                       then just look at the global department store news.
                                       Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield is set to gain planning
                                       consent  to  turn  the  former  House  of  Fraser  at
                                       Westfield  London  into  68,400sq  ft  of  flexible   it  to  vacate  its  shops  without  penalty.  Facebook
                                       offices plus two 16,145sq ft stores. Meanwhile, the   has  already  leased  1.5  million  square  feet  at  30,
                                       owner  of  Hudson Yards  is  apparently  talking  to   50,  and  55  Hudson  Yards.  These  developments
                                       Facebook as Neiman Marcus looks to vacate after   come hot on the heels of longstanding demises at
                                       just one year at the project in Manhattan. Facebook   department store groups including JC Penney and
                                       has  been  shopping  for  more  space  at  Hudson   Macy’s  in  the  US  and  Debenhams,  Karstadt  and
                                       Yards and Related Companies has reportedly been   Hudson’s Bay in Europe, not to mention the myriad
                                       mulling Plan B for the retailer’s 188,000sq ft space   smaller  department  store  group  casualties.  Be  in
                                       after its May bankruptcy filing, which would allow   no doubt, this is change at warp speed.


        INTERNATIONAL GROCERY APPEARS ALL BUT OVER

                almart  has  resumed  its  attempts  to  sell  its  British  subsidiary
                Asda, which it had paused because of the coronavirus crisis. The
        W American retail giant says however that a positive result is not
        guaranteed. Walmart has already engaged in discussions with a number of
        potential investors, interested in purchasing a stake in the British supermarket
        chain.  Earlier  this  year  three  parties  - Apollo  Global  Management, TDR
        Capital and Lone Star Funds – held acquisition talks with Walmart, but the
        negotiations were disrupted by the then-emerging Covid-19 crisis. Walmart
        has been trying to divest Asda for some time now and even struck a deal
        with its British competitor Sainsbury’s. However, that attempt failed after the
        British competition watchdog put the brakes on any deal, fearing for market
        imbalance. Walmart purchased the Leeds-headquartered supermarket chain
        in 1999 to great fanfare but in recent years it has reviewed its international
        strategy and decided to focus on markets like India and China, where it sees
        room for growth through alliances with local partners.
        50 RETAIL & LEISURE INTERNATIONAL NOVEMBER 2018
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