Page 28 - RLI July / August 2019
P. 28

MARK FAITHFULL

                                    Following



                                    the Money




                                    Mark faithfull crunches the numbers as he looks at
                                    analysis and expansion that reflects changing markets




        baltIc marKet attractS more              Influx of uS vISItorS booStS
        InternatIonal InveStment                 uK tax free SaleS fIgureS
              orthern  Horizon  Capital,  the  management   K  retail  sales  to  US  shoppers  grew
              company  of  Baltic  Horizon  Fund,  has  signed   by  27  per  cent  in  May,  as American
        Nan agreement with Linstow to acquire 100 per   Uconsumer confidence hit a six-month
        cent shares of Tampere Invest SIA, which owns Galerija   high,  contributing  to  a  transatlantic  spending
        Centrs Shopping Centre in the heart of Riga.  spree. The  boost  in  sales  marked  the  ninth
          The purchase price is €75M, which corresponds to   consecutive  month  of  double-digit  sales
        an estimated entry yield of approximately 6.7 per cent.   increases to American visitors.
        The transaction was expected to close by the beginning   In addition to the increase in overall sales,
        of June 2019.                            the average spend by a US shopper in the UK
          The  Galerija  Centrs  property  is  located  on Audeju   also rose, to an average €474 in May - €110
        Street 16, 1050 in Riga Old Town, next to the National   higher than the €364 recorded a year earlier.
        Opera. The five-floor property complex consists of two   Currency  fluctuations  will  likely  have
        buildings connected with a passage of glass roofed arcade.  enabled this, with the US dollar strengthening
          Originally  opened  in  1938,  the  centre  was  last   against the pound by 4.9 per cent from May
        refurbished in 2006 with an added extension. The net   2018 to May 2019 and by 5.5 per cent against
        leasable area is 20,073sq m. Anchor tenants include H&M,   the euro in the same period.
        RIMI, Massimo Dutti, Douglas, Lindex, Esprit, Gant, Marc   The  sales  figures  come  from  international
        O’Polo, and Max Mara Weekend. The fifth floor houses a   payments  company  Planet,  which  facilitates
        healthcare centre, a beauty salon and a fitness club.  VAT  refunds  for  international  shoppers  –  an
          The combined real estate investment volume in the   indicator widely seen as an accurate barometer
        Baltic  states  last  year  totalled  €810M  according  to   of the purchasing power of different nations’
        figures  published  by  Newsec  in  its  Baltic  Investment   tourists  and  the  retail  attractiveness  of  the
        Outlook 2019 report.                     countries they visit.              Traditionally  a  destination  famous  for  its
          Deals in Latvia made up 32 per cent of the total, while   The UK proved popular with international   heritage and tourist activities, the UK typically
        Lithuania accounted for a 49 per cent share and Estonia   shoppers  more  broadly  in  May  too,  with  a   has registered a lower average transaction value
        19 per cent. The most active players were the Baltic   sizeable  11  per  cent  year-on-year  uptick  in   (ATV) among international shoppers than other
        region’s biggest commercial real estate fund managers   arrivals coinciding with three per cent growth   major destinations such as Italy and France.
        including Northern Horizon Capital and EfTEN Capital,   in Tax  Free  sales. This  builds  on  an  already   Retail sales to international shoppers across
        as  well  as  the  Swedish  companies  Eastnine  and  East   successful  start  to  the  second  quarter,  with   Europe  more  widely  were  also  strong,  with
        Capital, all of which are long-time players in the market.  Tax Free sales in April witnessing 15 per cent   retailers witnessing seven per cent growth in
          The  largest  deal  over  the  year  was  South-African   growth  compared  with  the  same  period  last   sales and a four per cent rise in ATV. Italy led
        based NEPI Rockcastle’s purchase of the Ozas shopping   year. UK sales to international shoppers have   the pack with the biggest rise in Tax Free sales,
        centre in Vilnius for €124.6m.           now grown in four of the last five months.  at ten per cent.


        Jet.com fallS by waySIde aS walmart focuSeS on onlIne
             S retail giant Walmart has announced a sweeping overhaul at Jet.com,   The  data  from  Kantar  also  shows  the  number  of  US  households  that
             the online start-up it acquired in 2016 for $3.3bn, after it failed to live   shopped on Jet.com in January 2019 was two per cent, down from three per
        Uup to the world’s largest retailer’s e-commerce ambitions.  cent during the same period three years ago, forcing Walmart to change tack,
          Despite the fanfare over its purchase, Walmart said it will integrate Jet.com’s   using Jet as a platform to drive online grocery sales.
        retail,  technology,  marketing,  analytics  and  product  teams  with  its  own  online   Walmart has de-prioritised the business and is focusing more on growing
        business. The current president of Jet.com, Simon Belsham, will leave in early August.  sales  through  its  namesake  website  and  offering  a  broader  assortment  of
          Walmart’s move reduces the scope and importance of Jet.com in its overall   fashion  and  accessories  through  multiple  smaller  brands  like  Moosejaw,
        US e-commerce business, which competes directly with Amazon.com.  Modcloth, Bonobos, Eloquii, Hayneedle and others it has acquired in the past
          Jet.com, which was expected to boost Walmart’s reach particularly with city   few years to attract millennials.
        residents  and  millennial  shoppers,  has  failed  to  become  a  driver  for  online
        grocery sales and growing market share in urban areas.
          Walmart  has  put  more  emphasis  on  shopper  services  such  as  same-day
        delivery and kerbside pickup of groceries ordered online, focusing on food
        and grocery sales using those delivery methods. Jet, as a platform to sell similar
        items, appears to have fallen by the wayside.
          The Jet overhaul is the latest sign that Walmart is attempting to change
        the ways it reaches shoppers using different websites and delivery methods.
        Earlier this year, it ended a delivery partnership with Google-backed Deliv
        and last year Reuters reported its struggles to use its own employees to
        deliver products.
          In 2016, Jet forecast revenue of $1bn and according to recent estimates from
        consulting firm Kantar, the company’s sales actually shrank to $689M in 2019.
        50 RETAIL & LEISURE INTERNATIONAL NOVEMBER 2018
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